61% modelled chance to reach the knockout stage
Panama World Cup 2026 chances.
The planning model gives Panama a 61% chance to get out of Group L. Start with the confirmed games against Ghana, Croatia, and England, then see which cities open up along each route.
Confirmed schedule
Panama plays its World Cup 2026 group games in Toronto and New York/New Jersey.
Toronto
Wed, Jun 17 · 7:00 PM · vs Ghana
Toronto
Tue, Jun 23 · 7:00 PM · vs Croatia
New York/New Jersey
Sat, Jun 27 · 5:00 PM · vs England
Ghana vs Panama
Toronto
BMO Field
Wed, Jun 17 · 7:00 PM
Panama vs Croatia
Toronto
BMO Field
Tue, Jun 23 · 7:00 PM
Panama vs England
New York/New Jersey
MetLife Stadium
Sat, Jun 27 · 5:00 PM
Route odds
How could Panama get through?
This is a simple model built on top of the official bracket. Treat it as a planning guide, not a prediction that knows the future.
Win group
18%
Finish second
25%
Advance as third
18%
Out in group
39%
Next step
Looking for Panama tickets?
Use the confirmed Panama cities here first, then check FIFA's official ticket page for current availability.
Check ticketsNext step
Want Panama route updates?
Tell us you care about Panama, and we will shape alerts around the cities that matter next.
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Panama World Cup 2026 FAQ
Where does Panama play in World Cup 2026?
Panama plays its confirmed World Cup 2026 group games in Toronto and New York/New Jersey.
When is Panama's first World Cup 2026 match?
Panama's first group match is Ghana vs Panama on Wed, Jun 17 at BMO Field in Toronto.
Who does Panama play in the group stage?
Panama plays Ghana, Croatia, and England in Group L.
What stadiums does Panama play at in World Cup 2026?
Panama's confirmed group-stage stadiums are BMO Field, BMO Field, and MetLife Stadium.
What is Panama's possible knockout route?
The knockout route depends on whether Panama wins Group L, finishes second, or advances as a third-place team. This page maps the likely cities and matches for each route.
Match-by-match path
Win, lose, where next?
Each card shows the chance of reaching that match, the model win chance, and the city that opens up with a win. Most losses end the run; semifinal losers still go to the third-place match.
If group winner
18% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 80
Atlanta
Wed, Jul 1 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
18%
Win this match: 41%
Total path chance: 7.4%
Next: Mexico City · Round of 16
Lose this match: 59%
Total path chance: 10.6%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 92
Mexico City
Sun, Jul 5 · Estadio Azteca
Chance here
7.4%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 2.8%
Next: Miami · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 4.6%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 99
Miami
Sat, Jul 11 · Hard Rock Stadium
Chance here
2.8%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.1%
Next: Atlanta · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.7%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 102
Atlanta
Wed, Jul 15 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
1.1%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.4%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.7%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.4%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: Eliminated
If group runner-up
25% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 84
Toronto
Thu, Jul 2 · BMO Field
Chance here
25%
Win this match: 41%
Total path chance: 10.3%
Next: Dallas · Round of 16
Lose this match: 59%
Total path chance: 14.8%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 93
Dallas
Mon, Jul 6 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
10.3%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 3.9%
Next: Los Angeles · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 6.4%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 98
Los Angeles
Fri, Jul 10 · SoFi Stadium
Chance here
3.9%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.5%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 2.4%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
1.5%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.6%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.9%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.6%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.4%
Next: Eliminated
What this page is for
This page is for quick planning.
If you support Panama, start here to see the cities that are already locked in. Tickets, hotels, and odds are useful later, but the first question is simpler: where might you need to be?