88.2% modelled chance to reach the knockout stage
Croatia World Cup 2026 chances.
The planning model gives Croatia a 88.2% chance to get out of Group L. Start with the confirmed games against England, Panama, and Ghana, then see which cities open up along each route.
Confirmed schedule
Croatia plays its World Cup 2026 group games in Dallas, Toronto, and Philadelphia.
Dallas
Wed, Jun 17 · 4:00 PM · vs England
Toronto
Tue, Jun 23 · 7:00 PM · vs Panama
Philadelphia
Sat, Jun 27 · 5:00 PM · vs Ghana
England vs Croatia
Dallas
AT&T Stadium
Wed, Jun 17 · 4:00 PM
Panama vs Croatia
Toronto
BMO Field
Tue, Jun 23 · 7:00 PM
Croatia vs Ghana
Philadelphia
Lincoln Financial Field
Sat, Jun 27 · 5:00 PM
Route odds
How could Croatia get through?
This is a simple model built on top of the official bracket. Treat it as a planning guide, not a prediction that knows the future.
Win group
40.8%
Finish second
31.7%
Advance as third
15.7%
Out in group
11.8%
Next step
Looking for Croatia tickets?
Use the confirmed Croatia cities here first, then check FIFA's official ticket page for current availability.
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Want Croatia route updates?
Tell us you care about Croatia, and we will shape alerts around the cities that matter next.
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Croatia World Cup 2026 FAQ
Where does Croatia play in World Cup 2026?
Croatia plays its confirmed World Cup 2026 group games in Dallas, Toronto, and Philadelphia.
When is Croatia's first World Cup 2026 match?
Croatia's first group match is England vs Croatia on Wed, Jun 17 at AT&T Stadium in Dallas.
Who does Croatia play in the group stage?
Croatia plays England, Panama, and Ghana in Group L.
What stadiums does Croatia play at in World Cup 2026?
Croatia's confirmed group-stage stadiums are AT&T Stadium, BMO Field, and Lincoln Financial Field.
What is Croatia's possible knockout route?
The knockout route depends on whether Croatia wins Group L, finishes second, or advances as a third-place team. This page maps the likely cities and matches for each route.
Match-by-match path
Win, lose, where next?
Each card shows the chance of reaching that match, the model win chance, and the city that opens up with a win. Most losses end the run; semifinal losers still go to the third-place match.
If group winner
40.8% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 80
Atlanta
Wed, Jul 1 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
40.8%
Win this match: 58.1%
Total path chance: 23.7%
Next: Mexico City · Round of 16
Lose this match: 41.9%
Total path chance: 17.1%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 92
Mexico City
Sun, Jul 5 · Estadio Azteca
Chance here
23.7%
Win this match: 52.6%
Total path chance: 12.5%
Next: Miami · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 47.4%
Total path chance: 11.2%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 99
Miami
Sat, Jul 11 · Hard Rock Stadium
Chance here
12.5%
Win this match: 47.1%
Total path chance: 5.9%
Next: Atlanta · Semifinal
Lose this match: 52.9%
Total path chance: 6.6%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 102
Atlanta
Wed, Jul 15 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
5.9%
Win this match: 43.6%
Total path chance: 2.6%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 56.4%
Total path chance: 3.3%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
2.6%
Win this match: 40.1%
Total path chance: 1%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 59.9%
Total path chance: 1.6%
Next: Eliminated
If group runner-up
31.7% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 84
Toronto
Thu, Jul 2 · BMO Field
Chance here
31.7%
Win this match: 58.1%
Total path chance: 18.4%
Next: Dallas · Round of 16
Lose this match: 41.9%
Total path chance: 13.3%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 93
Dallas
Mon, Jul 6 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
18.4%
Win this match: 52.6%
Total path chance: 9.7%
Next: Los Angeles · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 47.4%
Total path chance: 8.7%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 98
Los Angeles
Fri, Jul 10 · SoFi Stadium
Chance here
9.7%
Win this match: 47.1%
Total path chance: 4.6%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 52.9%
Total path chance: 5.1%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
4.6%
Win this match: 43.6%
Total path chance: 2%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 56.4%
Total path chance: 2.6%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
2%
Win this match: 40.1%
Total path chance: 0.8%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 59.9%
Total path chance: 1.2%
Next: Eliminated
What this page is for
This page is for quick planning.
If you support Croatia, start here to see the cities that are already locked in. Tickets, hotels, and odds are useful later, but the first question is simpler: where might you need to be?