72.4% modelled chance to reach the knockout stage
Ghana World Cup 2026 chances.
The planning model gives Ghana a 72.4% chance to get out of Group L. Start with the confirmed games against Panama, England, and Croatia, then see which cities open up along each route.
Confirmed schedule
Ghana plays its World Cup 2026 group games in Toronto, Boston, and Philadelphia.
Toronto
Wed, Jun 17 · 7:00 PM · vs Panama
Boston
Tue, Jun 23 · 4:00 PM · vs England
Philadelphia
Sat, Jun 27 · 5:00 PM · vs Croatia
Ghana vs Panama
Toronto
BMO Field
Wed, Jun 17 · 7:00 PM
England vs Ghana
Boston
Gillette Stadium
Tue, Jun 23 · 4:00 PM
Croatia vs Ghana
Philadelphia
Lincoln Financial Field
Sat, Jun 27 · 5:00 PM
Route odds
How could Ghana get through?
This is a simple model built on top of the official bracket. Treat it as a planning guide, not a prediction that knows the future.
Win group
27.6%
Finish second
27.8%
Advance as third
17%
Out in group
27.6%
Next step
Looking for Ghana tickets?
Use the confirmed Ghana cities here first, then check FIFA's official ticket page for current availability.
Check ticketsNext step
Want Ghana route updates?
Tell us you care about Ghana, and we will shape alerts around the cities that matter next.
Send me updatesCommon questions
Ghana World Cup 2026 FAQ
Where does Ghana play in World Cup 2026?
Ghana plays its confirmed World Cup 2026 group games in Toronto, Boston, and Philadelphia.
When is Ghana's first World Cup 2026 match?
Ghana's first group match is Ghana vs Panama on Wed, Jun 17 at BMO Field in Toronto.
Who does Ghana play in the group stage?
Ghana plays Panama, England, and Croatia in Group L.
What stadiums does Ghana play at in World Cup 2026?
Ghana's confirmed group-stage stadiums are BMO Field, Gillette Stadium, and Lincoln Financial Field.
What is Ghana's possible knockout route?
The knockout route depends on whether Ghana wins Group L, finishes second, or advances as a third-place team. This page maps the likely cities and matches for each route.
Match-by-match path
Win, lose, where next?
Each card shows the chance of reaching that match, the model win chance, and the city that opens up with a win. Most losses end the run; semifinal losers still go to the third-place match.
If group winner
27.6% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 80
Atlanta
Wed, Jul 1 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
27.6%
Win this match: 48.2%
Total path chance: 13.3%
Next: Mexico City · Round of 16
Lose this match: 51.8%
Total path chance: 14.3%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 92
Mexico City
Sun, Jul 5 · Estadio Azteca
Chance here
13.3%
Win this match: 42.7%
Total path chance: 5.7%
Next: Miami · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 57.3%
Total path chance: 7.6%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 99
Miami
Sat, Jul 11 · Hard Rock Stadium
Chance here
5.7%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 2.2%
Next: Atlanta · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 3.5%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 102
Atlanta
Wed, Jul 15 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
2.2%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.8%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.4%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.8%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.3%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.5%
Next: Eliminated
If group runner-up
27.8% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 84
Toronto
Thu, Jul 2 · BMO Field
Chance here
27.8%
Win this match: 48.2%
Total path chance: 13.4%
Next: Dallas · Round of 16
Lose this match: 51.8%
Total path chance: 14.4%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 93
Dallas
Mon, Jul 6 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
13.4%
Win this match: 42.7%
Total path chance: 5.7%
Next: Los Angeles · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 57.3%
Total path chance: 7.7%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 98
Los Angeles
Fri, Jul 10 · SoFi Stadium
Chance here
5.7%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 2.2%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 3.5%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
2.2%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.8%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.4%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.8%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.3%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.5%
Next: Eliminated
What this page is for
This page is for quick planning.
If you support Ghana, start here to see the cities that are already locked in. Tickets, hotels, and odds are useful later, but the first question is simpler: where might you need to be?