3.8% modelled chance to reach the semifinal
Ivory Coast World Cup 2026 chances.
The route model gives Ivory Coast a 10% chance to reach the quarterfinal and a 3.8% chance to reach the semifinal. Start with the confirmed games against Ecuador, Germany, and Curacao, then see which cities open up along each route.
Confirmed schedule
Ivory Coast plays its World Cup 2026 group games in Philadelphia and Toronto.
Chance ladder
How far could Ivory Coast go?
These are model estimates for route planning. They use the confirmed bracket path plus a static team-strength rating, so they are not live betting odds and they do not yet ingest match results minute by minute.
Knockouts
69.6%
Quarterfinal
10%
Semifinal
3.8%
Final
1.5%
Champion
0.6%
Tournament is live
Check today's games before planning Ivory Coast's route.
The current-slate page shows today's listed matches, kickoff times, cities, stadiums, and links back to the team and match pages that matter next.
Route model
How could Ivory Coast get through?
This is a simple model built on top of the official bracket. Treat it as a planning guide, not a prediction that knows the future.
Win group
25.2%
Finish second
27.1%
Advance as third
17.3%
Out in group
30.4%
Before you book
Turn Ivory Coast's route into a plan.
Ivory Coast is confirmed for Philadelphia and Toronto. Use those cities as the base case, then keep the knockout rounds flexible until the group table is clearer.
Tickets
Use the confirmed cities first, then check FIFA for current ticket information.
Check official ticketsHotels
Start with Philadelphia, then keep bookings flexible for knockout routes.
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Ivory Coast World Cup 2026 FAQ
Where does Ivory Coast play in World Cup 2026?
Ivory Coast plays its confirmed World Cup 2026 group games in Philadelphia and Toronto.
When is Ivory Coast's first World Cup 2026 match?
Ivory Coast's first group match is Ivory Coast vs Ecuador on Sun, Jun 14 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia.
Who does Ivory Coast play in the group stage?
Ivory Coast plays Ecuador, Germany, and Curacao in Group E.
What stadiums does Ivory Coast play at in World Cup 2026?
Ivory Coast's confirmed group-stage stadiums are Lincoln Financial Field, BMO Field, and Lincoln Financial Field.
What is Ivory Coast's possible knockout route?
The knockout route depends on whether Ivory Coast wins Group E, finishes second, or advances as a third-place team. This page maps the likely cities and matches for each route.
Match-by-match path
Win, lose, where next?
Each card shows the chance of reaching that match, the model win chance, and the city that opens up with a win. Most losses end the run; semifinal losers still go to the third-place match.
If group winner
25.2% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 75
Boston
Mon, Jun 29 · Gillette Stadium
Chance here
25.2%
Win this match: 46.4%
Total path chance: 11.7%
Next: Houston · Round of 16
Lose this match: 53.6%
Total path chance: 13.5%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 89
Houston
Sat, Jul 4 · NRG Stadium
Chance here
11.7%
Win this match: 40.9%
Total path chance: 4.8%
Next: Boston · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 59.1%
Total path chance: 6.9%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 97
Boston
Thu, Jul 9 · Gillette Stadium
Chance here
4.8%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.8%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 3%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
1.8%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.7%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.1%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.7%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.3%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.4%
Next: Eliminated
If group runner-up
27.1% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 77
Dallas
Tue, Jun 30 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
27.1%
Win this match: 46.4%
Total path chance: 12.6%
Next: Philadelphia · Round of 16
Lose this match: 53.6%
Total path chance: 14.5%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 90
Philadelphia
Sat, Jul 4 · Lincoln Financial Field
Chance here
12.6%
Win this match: 40.9%
Total path chance: 5.2%
Next: Boston · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 59.1%
Total path chance: 7.4%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 97
Boston
Thu, Jul 9 · Gillette Stadium
Chance here
5.2%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 2%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 3.2%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
2%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.8%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.2%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.8%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.3%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.5%
Next: Eliminated
Model notes
Built for decisions, labelled as an estimate.
Current model version: static team strength plus confirmed schedule and bracket routes, updated July 14, 2026. Use it to compare route risk and travel options. Check official ticket, match, and team sources before booking.