1.6% modelled chance to reach the semifinal
Curacao World Cup 2026 chances.
The route model gives Curacao a 4.2% chance to reach the quarterfinal and a 1.6% chance to reach the semifinal. Start with the confirmed games against Germany, Ecuador, and Ivory Coast, then see which cities open up along each route.
Confirmed schedule
Curacao plays its World Cup 2026 group games in Houston, Kansas City, and Philadelphia.
Chance ladder
How far could Curacao go?
These are model estimates for route planning. They use the confirmed bracket path plus a static team-strength rating, so they are not live betting odds and they do not yet ingest match results minute by minute.
Knockouts
48.7%
Quarterfinal
4.2%
Semifinal
1.6%
Final
0.7%
Champion
0.3%
Tournament is live
Check today's games before planning Curacao's route.
The current-slate page shows today's listed matches, kickoff times, cities, stadiums, and links back to the team and match pages that matter next.
Route model
How could Curacao get through?
This is a simple model built on top of the official bracket. Treat it as a planning guide, not a prediction that knows the future.
Win group
8%
Finish second
21.5%
Advance as third
19.2%
Out in group
51.3%
Before you book
Turn Curacao's route into a plan.
Curacao is confirmed for Houston, Kansas City, and Philadelphia. Use those cities as the base case, then keep the knockout rounds flexible until the group table is clearer.
Tickets
Use the confirmed cities first, then check FIFA for current ticket information.
Check official ticketsHotels
Start with Houston, then keep bookings flexible for knockout routes.
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Curacao World Cup 2026 FAQ
Where does Curacao play in World Cup 2026?
Curacao plays its confirmed World Cup 2026 group games in Houston, Kansas City, and Philadelphia.
When is Curacao's first World Cup 2026 match?
Curacao's first group match is Germany vs Curacao on Sun, Jun 14 at NRG Stadium in Houston.
Who does Curacao play in the group stage?
Curacao plays Germany, Ecuador, and Ivory Coast in Group E.
What stadiums does Curacao play at in World Cup 2026?
Curacao's confirmed group-stage stadiums are NRG Stadium, Arrowhead Stadium, and Lincoln Financial Field.
What is Curacao's possible knockout route?
The knockout route depends on whether Curacao wins Group E, finishes second, or advances as a third-place team. This page maps the likely cities and matches for each route.
Match-by-match path
Win, lose, where next?
Each card shows the chance of reaching that match, the model win chance, and the city that opens up with a win. Most losses end the run; semifinal losers still go to the third-place match.
If group winner
8% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 75
Boston
Mon, Jun 29 · Gillette Stadium
Chance here
8%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 3%
Next: Houston · Round of 16
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 5%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 89
Houston
Sat, Jul 4 · NRG Stadium
Chance here
3%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.1%
Next: Boston · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.9%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 97
Boston
Thu, Jul 9 · Gillette Stadium
Chance here
1.1%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.4%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.7%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
0.4%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.2%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.1%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.1%
Next: Eliminated
If group runner-up
21.5% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 77
Dallas
Tue, Jun 30 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
21.5%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 8.2%
Next: Philadelphia · Round of 16
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 13.3%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 90
Philadelphia
Sat, Jul 4 · Lincoln Financial Field
Chance here
8.2%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 3.1%
Next: Boston · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 5.1%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 97
Boston
Thu, Jul 9 · Gillette Stadium
Chance here
3.1%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.2%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.9%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
1.2%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.5%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.7%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.5%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.3%
Next: Eliminated
Model notes
Built for decisions, labelled as an estimate.
Current model version: static team strength plus confirmed schedule and bracket routes, updated July 14, 2026. Use it to compare route risk and travel options. Check official ticket, match, and team sources before booking.