71% modelled chance to reach the knockout stage
Paraguay World Cup 2026 chances.
The planning model gives Paraguay a 71% chance to get out of Group D. Start with the confirmed games against USA, Turkiye, and Australia, then see which cities open up along each route.
Confirmed schedule
Paraguay plays its World Cup 2026 group games in Los Angeles and San Francisco Bay Area.
Los Angeles
Fri, Jun 12 · 9:00 PM · vs USA
San Francisco Bay Area
Fri, Jun 19 · 11:00 PM · vs Turkiye
San Francisco Bay Area
Thu, Jun 25 · 10:00 PM · vs Australia
USA vs Paraguay
Los Angeles
SoFi Stadium
Fri, Jun 12 · 9:00 PM
Turkiye vs Paraguay
San Francisco Bay Area
Levi's Stadium
Fri, Jun 19 · 11:00 PM
Paraguay vs Australia
San Francisco Bay Area
Levi's Stadium
Thu, Jun 25 · 10:00 PM
Route odds
How could Paraguay get through?
This is a simple model built on top of the official bracket. Treat it as a planning guide, not a prediction that knows the future.
Win group
26.4%
Finish second
27.5%
Advance as third
17.2%
Out in group
29%
Next step
Looking for Paraguay tickets?
Use the confirmed Paraguay cities here first, then check FIFA's official ticket page for current availability.
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Paraguay World Cup 2026 FAQ
Where does Paraguay play in World Cup 2026?
Paraguay plays its confirmed World Cup 2026 group games in Los Angeles and San Francisco Bay Area.
When is Paraguay's first World Cup 2026 match?
Paraguay's first group match is USA vs Paraguay on Fri, Jun 12 at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles.
Who does Paraguay play in the group stage?
Paraguay plays USA, Turkiye, and Australia in Group D.
What stadiums does Paraguay play at in World Cup 2026?
Paraguay's confirmed group-stage stadiums are SoFi Stadium, Levi's Stadium, and Levi's Stadium.
What is Paraguay's possible knockout route?
The knockout route depends on whether Paraguay wins Group D, finishes second, or advances as a third-place team. This page maps the likely cities and matches for each route.
Match-by-match path
Win, lose, where next?
Each card shows the chance of reaching that match, the model win chance, and the city that opens up with a win. Most losses end the run; semifinal losers still go to the third-place match.
If group winner
26.4% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 82
San Francisco Bay Area
Wed, Jul 1 · Levi's Stadium
Chance here
26.4%
Win this match: 47.3%
Total path chance: 12.5%
Next: Seattle · Round of 16
Lose this match: 52.7%
Total path chance: 13.9%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 94
Seattle
Mon, Jul 6 · Lumen Field
Chance here
12.5%
Win this match: 41.8%
Total path chance: 5.2%
Next: Los Angeles · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 58.2%
Total path chance: 7.3%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 98
Los Angeles
Fri, Jul 10 · SoFi Stadium
Chance here
5.2%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 2%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 3.2%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
2%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.8%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.2%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.8%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.3%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.5%
Next: Eliminated
If group runner-up
27.5% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 86
Dallas
Fri, Jul 3 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
27.5%
Win this match: 47.3%
Total path chance: 13%
Next: Atlanta · Round of 16
Lose this match: 52.7%
Total path chance: 14.5%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 95
Atlanta
Tue, Jul 7 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
13%
Win this match: 41.8%
Total path chance: 5.4%
Next: Kansas City · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 58.2%
Total path chance: 7.6%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 100
Kansas City
Sat, Jul 11 · Arrowhead Stadium
Chance here
5.4%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 2.1%
Next: Atlanta · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 3.3%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 102
Atlanta
Wed, Jul 15 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
2.1%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.8%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.3%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.8%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.3%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.5%
Next: Eliminated
What this page is for
This page is for quick planning.
If you support Paraguay, start here to see the cities that are already locked in. Tickets, hotels, and odds are useful later, but the first question is simpler: where might you need to be?