83.9% modelled chance to reach the knockout stage
Morocco World Cup 2026 chances.
The planning model gives Morocco a 83.9% chance to get out of Group C. Start with the confirmed games against Brazil, Scotland, and Haiti, then see which cities open up along each route.
Confirmed schedule
Morocco plays its World Cup 2026 group games in New York/New Jersey, Boston, and Atlanta.
New York/New Jersey
Sat, Jun 13 · 6:00 PM · vs Brazil
Boston
Fri, Jun 19 · 6:00 PM · vs Scotland
Atlanta
Wed, Jun 24 · 6:00 PM · vs Haiti
Brazil vs Morocco
New York/New Jersey
MetLife Stadium
Sat, Jun 13 · 6:00 PM
Scotland vs Morocco
Boston
Gillette Stadium
Fri, Jun 19 · 6:00 PM
Morocco vs Haiti
Atlanta
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Wed, Jun 24 · 6:00 PM
Route odds
How could Morocco get through?
This is a simple model built on top of the official bracket. Treat it as a planning guide, not a prediction that knows the future.
Win group
37.2%
Finish second
30.6%
Advance as third
16.1%
Out in group
16.1%
Next step
Looking for Morocco tickets?
Use the confirmed Morocco cities here first, then check FIFA's official ticket page for current availability.
Check ticketsNext step
Want Morocco route updates?
Tell us you care about Morocco, and we will shape alerts around the cities that matter next.
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Morocco World Cup 2026 FAQ
Where does Morocco play in World Cup 2026?
Morocco plays its confirmed World Cup 2026 group games in New York/New Jersey, Boston, and Atlanta.
When is Morocco's first World Cup 2026 match?
Morocco's first group match is Brazil vs Morocco on Sat, Jun 13 at MetLife Stadium in New York/New Jersey.
Who does Morocco play in the group stage?
Morocco plays Brazil, Scotland, and Haiti in Group C.
What stadiums does Morocco play at in World Cup 2026?
Morocco's confirmed group-stage stadiums are MetLife Stadium, Gillette Stadium, and Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
What is Morocco's possible knockout route?
The knockout route depends on whether Morocco wins Group C, finishes second, or advances as a third-place team. This page maps the likely cities and matches for each route.
Match-by-match path
Win, lose, where next?
Each card shows the chance of reaching that match, the model win chance, and the city that opens up with a win. Most losses end the run; semifinal losers still go to the third-place match.
If group winner
37.2% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 74
Houston
Mon, Jun 29 · NRG Stadium
Chance here
37.2%
Win this match: 55.4%
Total path chance: 20.6%
Next: Philadelphia · Round of 16
Lose this match: 44.6%
Total path chance: 16.6%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 90
Philadelphia
Sat, Jul 4 · Lincoln Financial Field
Chance here
20.6%
Win this match: 49.9%
Total path chance: 10.3%
Next: Boston · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 50.1%
Total path chance: 10.3%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 97
Boston
Thu, Jul 9 · Gillette Stadium
Chance here
10.3%
Win this match: 44.4%
Total path chance: 4.6%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 55.6%
Total path chance: 5.7%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
4.6%
Win this match: 40.9%
Total path chance: 1.9%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 59.1%
Total path chance: 2.7%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
1.9%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.7%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.2%
Next: Eliminated
If group runner-up
30.6% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 76
Monterrey
Mon, Jun 29 · Estadio BBVA
Chance here
30.6%
Win this match: 55.4%
Total path chance: 17%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Round of 16
Lose this match: 44.6%
Total path chance: 13.6%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 91
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 5 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
17%
Win this match: 49.9%
Total path chance: 8.5%
Next: Miami · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 50.1%
Total path chance: 8.5%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 99
Miami
Sat, Jul 11 · Hard Rock Stadium
Chance here
8.5%
Win this match: 44.4%
Total path chance: 3.8%
Next: Atlanta · Semifinal
Lose this match: 55.6%
Total path chance: 4.7%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 102
Atlanta
Wed, Jul 15 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
3.8%
Win this match: 40.9%
Total path chance: 1.6%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 59.1%
Total path chance: 2.2%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
1.6%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.6%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1%
Next: Eliminated
What this page is for
This page is for quick planning.
If you support Morocco, start here to see the cities that are already locked in. Tickets, hotels, and odds are useful later, but the first question is simpler: where might you need to be?