1.9% modelled chance to reach the semifinal
Haiti World Cup 2026 chances.
The route model gives Haiti a 5.1% chance to reach the quarterfinal and a 1.9% chance to reach the semifinal. Start with the confirmed games against Scotland, Brazil, and Morocco, then see which cities open up along each route.
Confirmed schedule
Haiti plays its World Cup 2026 group games in Boston, Philadelphia, and Atlanta.
Chance ladder
How far could Haiti go?
These are model estimates for route planning. They use the confirmed bracket path plus a static team-strength rating, so they are not live betting odds and they do not yet ingest match results minute by minute.
Knockouts
53.8%
Quarterfinal
5.1%
Semifinal
1.9%
Final
0.7%
Champion
0.3%
Tournament is live
Check today's games before planning Haiti's route.
The current-slate page shows today's listed matches, kickoff times, cities, stadiums, and links back to the team and match pages that matter next.
Route model
How could Haiti get through?
This is a simple model built on top of the official bracket. Treat it as a planning guide, not a prediction that knows the future.
Win group
12%
Finish second
23.3%
Advance as third
18.6%
Out in group
46.2%
Before you book
Turn Haiti's route into a plan.
Haiti is confirmed for Boston, Philadelphia, and Atlanta. Use those cities as the base case, then keep the knockout rounds flexible until the group table is clearer.
Tickets
Use the confirmed cities first, then check FIFA for current ticket information.
Check official ticketsHotels
Start with Boston, then keep bookings flexible for knockout routes.
Compare hotelsRoute alerts
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Request route alertsCommon questions
Haiti World Cup 2026 FAQ
Where does Haiti play in World Cup 2026?
Haiti plays its confirmed World Cup 2026 group games in Boston, Philadelphia, and Atlanta.
When is Haiti's first World Cup 2026 match?
Haiti's first group match is Haiti vs Scotland on Sat, Jun 13 at Gillette Stadium in Boston.
Who does Haiti play in the group stage?
Haiti plays Scotland, Brazil, and Morocco in Group C.
What stadiums does Haiti play at in World Cup 2026?
Haiti's confirmed group-stage stadiums are Gillette Stadium, Lincoln Financial Field, and Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
What is Haiti's possible knockout route?
The knockout route depends on whether Haiti wins Group C, finishes second, or advances as a third-place team. This page maps the likely cities and matches for each route.
Match-by-match path
Win, lose, where next?
Each card shows the chance of reaching that match, the model win chance, and the city that opens up with a win. Most losses end the run; semifinal losers still go to the third-place match.
If group winner
12% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 74
Houston
Mon, Jun 29 · NRG Stadium
Chance here
12%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 4.6%
Next: Philadelphia · Round of 16
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 7.4%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 90
Philadelphia
Sat, Jul 4 · Lincoln Financial Field
Chance here
4.6%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.7%
Next: Boston · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 2.9%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 97
Boston
Thu, Jul 9 · Gillette Stadium
Chance here
1.7%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.6%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.1%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
0.6%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.4%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.2%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.1%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.1%
Next: Eliminated
If group runner-up
23.3% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 76
Monterrey
Mon, Jun 29 · Estadio BBVA
Chance here
23.3%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 8.9%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Round of 16
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 14.4%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 91
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 5 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
8.9%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 3.4%
Next: Miami · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 5.5%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 99
Miami
Sat, Jul 11 · Hard Rock Stadium
Chance here
3.4%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.3%
Next: Atlanta · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 2.1%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 102
Atlanta
Wed, Jul 15 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
1.3%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.5%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.8%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.5%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.3%
Next: Eliminated
Model notes
Built for decisions, labelled as an estimate.
Current model version: static team strength plus confirmed schedule and bracket routes, updated July 14, 2026. Use it to compare route risk and travel options. Check official ticket, match, and team sources before booking.