2.1% modelled chance to reach the semifinal
Jordan World Cup 2026 chances.
The route model gives Jordan a 5.6% chance to reach the quarterfinal and a 2.1% chance to reach the semifinal. Start with the confirmed games against Austria, Algeria, and Argentina, then see which cities open up along each route.
Confirmed schedule
Jordan plays its World Cup 2026 group games in San Francisco Bay Area and Dallas.
Chance ladder
How far could Jordan go?
These are model estimates for route planning. They use the confirmed bracket path plus a static team-strength rating, so they are not live betting odds and they do not yet ingest match results minute by minute.
Knockouts
56.7%
Quarterfinal
5.6%
Semifinal
2.1%
Final
0.8%
Champion
0.3%
Tournament is live
Check today's games before planning Jordan's route.
The current-slate page shows today's listed matches, kickoff times, cities, stadiums, and links back to the team and match pages that matter next.
Route model
How could Jordan get through?
This is a simple model built on top of the official bracket. Treat it as a planning guide, not a prediction that knows the future.
Win group
14.4%
Finish second
24%
Advance as third
18.4%
Out in group
43.3%
Before you book
Turn Jordan's route into a plan.
Jordan is confirmed for San Francisco Bay Area and Dallas. Use those cities as the base case, then keep the knockout rounds flexible until the group table is clearer.
Tickets
Use the confirmed cities first, then check FIFA for current ticket information.
Check official ticketsHotels
Start with San Francisco Bay Area, then keep bookings flexible for knockout routes.
Compare hotelsRoute alerts
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Request route alertsCommon questions
Jordan World Cup 2026 FAQ
Where does Jordan play in World Cup 2026?
Jordan plays its confirmed World Cup 2026 group games in San Francisco Bay Area and Dallas.
When is Jordan's first World Cup 2026 match?
Jordan's first group match is Austria vs Jordan on Wed, Jun 17 at Levi's Stadium in San Francisco Bay Area.
Who does Jordan play in the group stage?
Jordan plays Austria, Algeria, and Argentina in Group J.
What stadiums does Jordan play at in World Cup 2026?
Jordan's confirmed group-stage stadiums are Levi's Stadium, Levi's Stadium, and AT&T Stadium.
What is Jordan's possible knockout route?
The knockout route depends on whether Jordan wins Group J, finishes second, or advances as a third-place team. This page maps the likely cities and matches for each route.
Match-by-match path
Win, lose, where next?
Each card shows the chance of reaching that match, the model win chance, and the city that opens up with a win. Most losses end the run; semifinal losers still go to the third-place match.
If group winner
14.4% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 87
Miami
Fri, Jul 3 · Hard Rock Stadium
Chance here
14.4%
Win this match: 38.3%
Total path chance: 5.5%
Next: Vancouver · Round of 16
Lose this match: 61.7%
Total path chance: 8.9%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 96
Vancouver
Tue, Jul 7 · BC Place
Chance here
5.5%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 2.1%
Next: Kansas City · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 3.4%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 100
Kansas City
Sat, Jul 11 · Arrowhead Stadium
Chance here
2.1%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.8%
Next: Atlanta · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.3%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 102
Atlanta
Wed, Jul 15 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
0.8%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.3%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.5%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.3%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.1%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: Eliminated
If group runner-up
24% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 83
Los Angeles
Thu, Jul 2 · SoFi Stadium
Chance here
24%
Win this match: 38.3%
Total path chance: 9.2%
Next: Dallas · Round of 16
Lose this match: 61.7%
Total path chance: 14.8%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 93
Dallas
Mon, Jul 6 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
9.2%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 3.5%
Next: Los Angeles · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 5.7%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 98
Los Angeles
Fri, Jul 10 · SoFi Stadium
Chance here
3.5%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.3%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 2.2%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
1.3%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.5%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.8%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.5%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.3%
Next: Eliminated
Model notes
Built for decisions, labelled as an estimate.
Current model version: static team strength plus confirmed schedule and bracket routes, updated July 14, 2026. Use it to compare route risk and travel options. Check official ticket, match, and team sources before booking.