3.6% modelled chance to reach the semifinal
Algeria World Cup 2026 chances.
The route model gives Algeria a 9.3% chance to reach the quarterfinal and a 3.6% chance to reach the semifinal. Start with the confirmed games against Argentina, Jordan, and Austria, then see which cities open up along each route.
Confirmed schedule
Algeria plays its World Cup 2026 group games in Kansas City and San Francisco Bay Area.
Chance ladder
How far could Algeria go?
These are model estimates for route planning. They use the confirmed bracket path plus a static team-strength rating, so they are not live betting odds and they do not yet ingest match results minute by minute.
Knockouts
68.1%
Quarterfinal
9.3%
Semifinal
3.6%
Final
1.3%
Champion
0.5%
Tournament is live
Check today's games before planning Algeria's route.
The current-slate page shows today's listed matches, kickoff times, cities, stadiums, and links back to the team and match pages that matter next.
Route model
How could Algeria get through?
This is a simple model built on top of the official bracket. Treat it as a planning guide, not a prediction that knows the future.
Win group
24%
Finish second
26.8%
Advance as third
17.4%
Out in group
31.9%
Before you book
Turn Algeria's route into a plan.
Algeria is confirmed for Kansas City and San Francisco Bay Area. Use those cities as the base case, then keep the knockout rounds flexible until the group table is clearer.
Tickets
Use the confirmed cities first, then check FIFA for current ticket information.
Check official ticketsHotels
Start with Kansas City, then keep bookings flexible for knockout routes.
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Request route alertsCommon questions
Algeria World Cup 2026 FAQ
Where does Algeria play in World Cup 2026?
Algeria plays its confirmed World Cup 2026 group games in Kansas City and San Francisco Bay Area.
When is Algeria's first World Cup 2026 match?
Algeria's first group match is Argentina vs Algeria on Tue, Jun 16 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.
Who does Algeria play in the group stage?
Algeria plays Argentina, Jordan, and Austria in Group J.
What stadiums does Algeria play at in World Cup 2026?
Algeria's confirmed group-stage stadiums are Arrowhead Stadium, Levi's Stadium, and Arrowhead Stadium.
What is Algeria's possible knockout route?
The knockout route depends on whether Algeria wins Group J, finishes second, or advances as a third-place team. This page maps the likely cities and matches for each route.
Match-by-match path
Win, lose, where next?
Each card shows the chance of reaching that match, the model win chance, and the city that opens up with a win. Most losses end the run; semifinal losers still go to the third-place match.
If group winner
24% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 87
Miami
Fri, Jul 3 · Hard Rock Stadium
Chance here
24%
Win this match: 45.5%
Total path chance: 10.9%
Next: Vancouver · Round of 16
Lose this match: 54.5%
Total path chance: 13.1%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 96
Vancouver
Tue, Jul 7 · BC Place
Chance here
10.9%
Win this match: 40%
Total path chance: 4.4%
Next: Kansas City · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 60%
Total path chance: 6.5%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 100
Kansas City
Sat, Jul 11 · Arrowhead Stadium
Chance here
4.4%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.7%
Next: Atlanta · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 2.7%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 102
Atlanta
Wed, Jul 15 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
1.7%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.6%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.1%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.6%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.4%
Next: Eliminated
If group runner-up
26.8% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 83
Los Angeles
Thu, Jul 2 · SoFi Stadium
Chance here
26.8%
Win this match: 45.5%
Total path chance: 12.2%
Next: Dallas · Round of 16
Lose this match: 54.5%
Total path chance: 14.6%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 93
Dallas
Mon, Jul 6 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
12.2%
Win this match: 40%
Total path chance: 4.9%
Next: Los Angeles · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 60%
Total path chance: 7.3%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 98
Los Angeles
Fri, Jul 10 · SoFi Stadium
Chance here
4.9%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.9%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 3%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
1.9%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.7%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.2%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.7%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.3%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.4%
Next: Eliminated
Model notes
Built for decisions, labelled as an estimate.
Current model version: static team strength plus confirmed schedule and bracket routes, updated July 14, 2026. Use it to compare route risk and travel options. Check official ticket, match, and team sources before booking.