68.1% modelled chance to reach the knockout stage
Algeria World Cup 2026 chances.
The planning model gives Algeria a 68.1% chance to get out of Group J. Start with the confirmed games against Argentina, Jordan, and Austria, then see which cities open up along each route.
Confirmed schedule
Algeria plays its World Cup 2026 group games in Kansas City and San Francisco Bay Area.
Kansas City
Tue, Jun 16 · 9:00 PM · vs Argentina
San Francisco Bay Area
Mon, Jun 22 · 11:00 PM · vs Jordan
Kansas City
Sat, Jun 27 · 10:00 PM · vs Austria
Argentina vs Algeria
Kansas City
Arrowhead Stadium
Tue, Jun 16 · 9:00 PM
Jordan vs Algeria
San Francisco Bay Area
Levi's Stadium
Mon, Jun 22 · 11:00 PM
Algeria vs Austria
Kansas City
Arrowhead Stadium
Sat, Jun 27 · 10:00 PM
Route odds
How could Algeria get through?
This is a simple model built on top of the official bracket. Treat it as a planning guide, not a prediction that knows the future.
Win group
24%
Finish second
26.8%
Advance as third
17.4%
Out in group
31.9%
Next step
Looking for Algeria tickets?
Use the confirmed Algeria cities here first, then check FIFA's official ticket page for current availability.
Check ticketsNext step
Want Algeria route updates?
Tell us you care about Algeria, and we will shape alerts around the cities that matter next.
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Algeria World Cup 2026 FAQ
Where does Algeria play in World Cup 2026?
Algeria plays its confirmed World Cup 2026 group games in Kansas City and San Francisco Bay Area.
When is Algeria's first World Cup 2026 match?
Algeria's first group match is Argentina vs Algeria on Tue, Jun 16 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.
Who does Algeria play in the group stage?
Algeria plays Argentina, Jordan, and Austria in Group J.
What stadiums does Algeria play at in World Cup 2026?
Algeria's confirmed group-stage stadiums are Arrowhead Stadium, Levi's Stadium, and Arrowhead Stadium.
What is Algeria's possible knockout route?
The knockout route depends on whether Algeria wins Group J, finishes second, or advances as a third-place team. This page maps the likely cities and matches for each route.
Match-by-match path
Win, lose, where next?
Each card shows the chance of reaching that match, the model win chance, and the city that opens up with a win. Most losses end the run; semifinal losers still go to the third-place match.
If group winner
24% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 87
Miami
Fri, Jul 3 · Hard Rock Stadium
Chance here
24%
Win this match: 45.5%
Total path chance: 10.9%
Next: Vancouver · Round of 16
Lose this match: 54.5%
Total path chance: 13.1%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 96
Vancouver
Tue, Jul 7 · BC Place
Chance here
10.9%
Win this match: 40%
Total path chance: 4.4%
Next: Kansas City · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 60%
Total path chance: 6.5%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 100
Kansas City
Sat, Jul 11 · Arrowhead Stadium
Chance here
4.4%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.7%
Next: Atlanta · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 2.7%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 102
Atlanta
Wed, Jul 15 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
1.7%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.6%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.1%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.6%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.4%
Next: Eliminated
If group runner-up
26.8% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 83
Los Angeles
Thu, Jul 2 · SoFi Stadium
Chance here
26.8%
Win this match: 45.5%
Total path chance: 12.2%
Next: Dallas · Round of 16
Lose this match: 54.5%
Total path chance: 14.6%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 93
Dallas
Mon, Jul 6 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
12.2%
Win this match: 40%
Total path chance: 4.9%
Next: Los Angeles · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 60%
Total path chance: 7.3%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 98
Los Angeles
Fri, Jul 10 · SoFi Stadium
Chance here
4.9%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.9%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 3%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
1.9%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.7%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.2%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.7%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.3%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.4%
Next: Eliminated
What this page is for
This page is for quick planning.
If you support Algeria, start here to see the cities that are already locked in. Tickets, hotels, and odds are useful later, but the first question is simpler: where might you need to be?