61% modelled chance to reach the knockout stage
Uzbekistan World Cup 2026 chances.
The planning model gives Uzbekistan a 61% chance to get out of Group K. Start with the confirmed games against Colombia, Portugal, and DR Congo, then see which cities open up along each route.
Confirmed schedule
Uzbekistan plays its World Cup 2026 group games in Mexico City, Houston, and Atlanta.
Mexico City
Wed, Jun 17 · 10:00 PM · vs Colombia
Houston
Tue, Jun 23 · 1:00 PM · vs Portugal
Atlanta
Sat, Jun 27 · 7:30 PM · vs DR Congo
Uzbekistan vs Colombia
Mexico City
Estadio Azteca
Wed, Jun 17 · 10:00 PM
Portugal vs Uzbekistan
Houston
NRG Stadium
Tue, Jun 23 · 1:00 PM
DR Congo vs Uzbekistan
Atlanta
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Sat, Jun 27 · 7:30 PM
Route odds
How could Uzbekistan get through?
This is a simple model built on top of the official bracket. Treat it as a planning guide, not a prediction that knows the future.
Win group
18%
Finish second
25%
Advance as third
18%
Out in group
39%
Next step
Looking for Uzbekistan tickets?
Use the confirmed Uzbekistan cities here first, then check FIFA's official ticket page for current availability.
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Want Uzbekistan route updates?
Tell us you care about Uzbekistan, and we will shape alerts around the cities that matter next.
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Uzbekistan World Cup 2026 FAQ
Where does Uzbekistan play in World Cup 2026?
Uzbekistan plays its confirmed World Cup 2026 group games in Mexico City, Houston, and Atlanta.
When is Uzbekistan's first World Cup 2026 match?
Uzbekistan's first group match is Uzbekistan vs Colombia on Wed, Jun 17 at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City.
Who does Uzbekistan play in the group stage?
Uzbekistan plays Colombia, Portugal, and DR Congo in Group K.
What stadiums does Uzbekistan play at in World Cup 2026?
Uzbekistan's confirmed group-stage stadiums are Estadio Azteca, NRG Stadium, and Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
What is Uzbekistan's possible knockout route?
The knockout route depends on whether Uzbekistan wins Group K, finishes second, or advances as a third-place team. This page maps the likely cities and matches for each route.
Match-by-match path
Win, lose, where next?
Each card shows the chance of reaching that match, the model win chance, and the city that opens up with a win. Most losses end the run; semifinal losers still go to the third-place match.
If group winner
18% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 88
Kansas City
Fri, Jul 3 · Arrowhead Stadium
Chance here
18%
Win this match: 41%
Total path chance: 7.4%
Next: Atlanta · Round of 16
Lose this match: 59%
Total path chance: 10.6%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 95
Atlanta
Tue, Jul 7 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
7.4%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 2.8%
Next: Kansas City · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 4.6%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 100
Kansas City
Sat, Jul 11 · Arrowhead Stadium
Chance here
2.8%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.1%
Next: Atlanta · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.7%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 102
Atlanta
Wed, Jul 15 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
1.1%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.4%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.7%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.4%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: Eliminated
If group runner-up
25% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 84
Toronto
Thu, Jul 2 · BMO Field
Chance here
25%
Win this match: 41%
Total path chance: 10.3%
Next: Dallas · Round of 16
Lose this match: 59%
Total path chance: 14.8%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 93
Dallas
Mon, Jul 6 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
10.3%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 3.9%
Next: Los Angeles · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 6.4%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 98
Los Angeles
Fri, Jul 10 · SoFi Stadium
Chance here
3.9%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.5%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 2.4%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
1.5%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.6%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.9%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.6%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.4%
Next: Eliminated
What this page is for
This page is for quick planning.
If you support Uzbekistan, start here to see the cities that are already locked in. Tickets, hotels, and odds are useful later, but the first question is simpler: where might you need to be?