59.6% modelled chance to reach the knockout stage
DR Congo World Cup 2026 chances.
The planning model gives DR Congo a 59.6% chance to get out of Group K. Start with the confirmed games against Portugal, Colombia, and Uzbekistan, then see which cities open up along each route.
Confirmed schedule
DR Congo plays its World Cup 2026 group games in Houston, Guadalajara, and Atlanta.
Houston
Wed, Jun 17 · 1:00 PM · vs Portugal
Guadalajara
Tue, Jun 23 · 10:00 PM · vs Colombia
Atlanta
Sat, Jun 27 · 7:30 PM · vs Uzbekistan
Portugal vs DR Congo
Houston
NRG Stadium
Wed, Jun 17 · 1:00 PM
Colombia vs DR Congo
Guadalajara
Estadio Akron
Tue, Jun 23 · 10:00 PM
DR Congo vs Uzbekistan
Atlanta
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Sat, Jun 27 · 7:30 PM
Route odds
How could DR Congo get through?
This is a simple model built on top of the official bracket. Treat it as a planning guide, not a prediction that knows the future.
Win group
16.8%
Finish second
24.7%
Advance as third
18.1%
Out in group
40.4%
Next step
Looking for DR Congo tickets?
Use the confirmed DR Congo cities here first, then check FIFA's official ticket page for current availability.
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DR Congo World Cup 2026 FAQ
Where does DR Congo play in World Cup 2026?
DR Congo plays its confirmed World Cup 2026 group games in Houston, Guadalajara, and Atlanta.
When is DR Congo's first World Cup 2026 match?
DR Congo's first group match is Portugal vs DR Congo on Wed, Jun 17 at NRG Stadium in Houston.
Who does DR Congo play in the group stage?
DR Congo plays Portugal, Colombia, and Uzbekistan in Group K.
What stadiums does DR Congo play at in World Cup 2026?
DR Congo's confirmed group-stage stadiums are NRG Stadium, Estadio Akron, and Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
What is DR Congo's possible knockout route?
The knockout route depends on whether DR Congo wins Group K, finishes second, or advances as a third-place team. This page maps the likely cities and matches for each route.
Match-by-match path
Win, lose, where next?
Each card shows the chance of reaching that match, the model win chance, and the city that opens up with a win. Most losses end the run; semifinal losers still go to the third-place match.
If group winner
16.8% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 88
Kansas City
Fri, Jul 3 · Arrowhead Stadium
Chance here
16.8%
Win this match: 40.1%
Total path chance: 6.7%
Next: Atlanta · Round of 16
Lose this match: 59.9%
Total path chance: 10.1%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 95
Atlanta
Tue, Jul 7 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
6.7%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 2.5%
Next: Kansas City · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 4.2%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 100
Kansas City
Sat, Jul 11 · Arrowhead Stadium
Chance here
2.5%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1%
Next: Atlanta · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1.6%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 102
Atlanta
Wed, Jul 15 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
1%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.4%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.6%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.4%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: Eliminated
If group runner-up
24.7% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 84
Toronto
Thu, Jul 2 · BMO Field
Chance here
24.7%
Win this match: 40.1%
Total path chance: 9.9%
Next: Dallas · Round of 16
Lose this match: 59.9%
Total path chance: 14.8%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 93
Dallas
Mon, Jul 6 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
9.9%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 3.8%
Next: Los Angeles · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 6.1%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 98
Los Angeles
Fri, Jul 10 · SoFi Stadium
Chance here
3.8%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.4%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 2.4%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
1.4%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.5%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.9%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.5%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.3%
Next: Eliminated
What this page is for
This page is for quick planning.
If you support DR Congo, start here to see the cities that are already locked in. Tickets, hotels, and odds are useful later, but the first question is simpler: where might you need to be?