1.9% modelled chance to reach the semifinal
Bosnia & Herzegovina World Cup 2026 chances.
The route model gives Bosnia & Herzegovina a 4.9% chance to reach the quarterfinal and a 1.9% chance to reach the semifinal. Start with the confirmed games against Canada, Switzerland, and Qatar, then see which cities open up along each route.
Confirmed schedule
Bosnia & Herzegovina plays its World Cup 2026 group games in Toronto, Los Angeles, and Seattle.
Chance ladder
How far could Bosnia & Herzegovina go?
These are model estimates for route planning. They use the confirmed bracket path plus a static team-strength rating, so they are not live betting odds and they do not yet ingest match results minute by minute.
Knockouts
52.4%
Quarterfinal
4.9%
Semifinal
1.9%
Final
0.7%
Champion
0.3%
Tournament is live
Check today's games before planning Bosnia & Herzegovina's route.
The current-slate page shows today's listed matches, kickoff times, cities, stadiums, and links back to the team and match pages that matter next.
Route model
How could Bosnia & Herzegovina get through?
This is a simple model built on top of the official bracket. Treat it as a planning guide, not a prediction that knows the future.
Win group
10.8%
Finish second
22.9%
Advance as third
18.7%
Out in group
47.6%
Before you book
Turn Bosnia & Herzegovina's route into a plan.
Bosnia & Herzegovina is confirmed for Toronto, Los Angeles, and Seattle. Use those cities as the base case, then keep the knockout rounds flexible until the group table is clearer.
Tickets
Use the confirmed cities first, then check FIFA for current ticket information.
Check official ticketsHotels
Start with Toronto, then keep bookings flexible for knockout routes.
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Bosnia & Herzegovina World Cup 2026 FAQ
Where does Bosnia & Herzegovina play in World Cup 2026?
Bosnia & Herzegovina plays its confirmed World Cup 2026 group games in Toronto, Los Angeles, and Seattle.
When is Bosnia & Herzegovina's first World Cup 2026 match?
Bosnia & Herzegovina's first group match is Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina on Fri, Jun 12 at BMO Field in Toronto.
Who does Bosnia & Herzegovina play in the group stage?
Bosnia & Herzegovina plays Canada, Switzerland, and Qatar in Group B.
What stadiums does Bosnia & Herzegovina play at in World Cup 2026?
Bosnia & Herzegovina's confirmed group-stage stadiums are BMO Field, SoFi Stadium, and Lumen Field.
What is Bosnia & Herzegovina's possible knockout route?
The knockout route depends on whether Bosnia & Herzegovina wins Group B, finishes second, or advances as a third-place team. This page maps the likely cities and matches for each route.
Match-by-match path
Win, lose, where next?
Each card shows the chance of reaching that match, the model win chance, and the city that opens up with a win. Most losses end the run; semifinal losers still go to the third-place match.
If group winner
10.8% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 85
Vancouver
Thu, Jul 2 · BC Place
Chance here
10.8%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 4.1%
Next: Vancouver · Round of 16
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 6.7%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 96
Vancouver
Tue, Jul 7 · BC Place
Chance here
4.1%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.6%
Next: Kansas City · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 2.5%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 100
Kansas City
Sat, Jul 11 · Arrowhead Stadium
Chance here
1.6%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.6%
Next: Atlanta · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 1%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 102
Atlanta
Wed, Jul 15 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chance here
0.6%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.4%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.2%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.1%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.1%
Next: Eliminated
If group runner-up
22.9% route probability
Round of 32 · Match 73
Los Angeles
Sun, Jun 28 · SoFi Stadium
Chance here
22.9%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 8.7%
Next: Houston · Round of 16
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 14.2%
Next: Eliminated
Round of 16 · Match 89
Houston
Sat, Jul 4 · NRG Stadium
Chance here
8.7%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 3.3%
Next: Boston · Quarterfinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 5.4%
Next: Eliminated
Quarterfinal · Match 97
Boston
Thu, Jul 9 · Gillette Stadium
Chance here
3.3%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 1.3%
Next: Dallas · Semifinal
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 2%
Next: Eliminated
Semifinal · Match 101
Dallas
Tue, Jul 14 · AT&T Stadium
Chance here
1.3%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.5%
Next: New York/New Jersey · Final
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.8%
Next: Miami · Third Place
Final · Match 104
New York/New Jersey
Sun, Jul 19 · MetLife Stadium
Chance here
0.5%
Win this match: 38%
Total path chance: 0.2%
Next: World Cup champion
Lose this match: 62%
Total path chance: 0.3%
Next: Eliminated
Model notes
Built for decisions, labelled as an estimate.
Current model version: static team strength plus confirmed schedule and bracket routes, updated July 14, 2026. Use it to compare route risk and travel options. Check official ticket, match, and team sources before booking.